In April, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued a long-awaited Notice of Proposed Rulemaking with a proposed policy for the accountable care organization (ACO) program authorized by the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Under this policy, ACOs could participate in one of two types of 3-year arrangements. In the first path, in years 1 and 2 they would be eligible to share any savings they achieved relative to a spending target without accepting “downside” risk. In year 3, the ACOs would be required to repay Medicare for a percentage of any spending over their target level. In the . . .
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Rosenthal et al. (2011) studied this question.