China’s Grain Production: A Decade of Consecutive Growth or Stagnation?

China's official statistics showed that the country's grain production declined from 512 to 431 million tons between 1998 and 2003. However, according to the Chinese government, since 2004 it has achieved "ten years of consecutive growth" in grain production. According to the official statistics, China's grain production reached 602 million tons in 2013, nearly 40 percent above the 2003 level.… While the official statistics claim grain production has grown rapidly, China's surging imports of cereals and soybean suggest that its grain production has struggled to catch up with demand.… This article argues that China's actual grain production levels may be substantially lower than the officially reported levels; in fact, grain production has stagnated since the late 1990s.This article can also be found at the Monthly Review website, where most recent articles are published in full.Click here to purchase a PDF version of this article at the Monthly Review website.