Nonlinear Baroclinic Dynamics of Surface Cyclones Crossing a Zonal Jet

Mechanisms leading a synoptic surface cyclone to cross an upper-level zonal jet and its subsequent deepening are investigated using a two-layer model on a β plane. The baroclinic interaction of a low-level circular cyclonic perturbation with an upper-level one is first studied in vertical and horizontal cyclonic or anticyclonic uniform shears. A first nonlinear effect acting on the shape and energetics of the perturbations is analyzed. If the background shear is anticyclonic, the perturbations are stretched horizontally; they lose energy barotropically but gain it baroclinically by a well-maintained westward tilt with height. Conversely, if the shear is cyclonic, perturbations remain quite isotropic, but they do not keep a favorable vertical tilt with time and the baroclinic interaction is thus only transient. The latitudinal motion of the perturbations also results from a nonlinear effect. It is found to depend strongly on the background potential vorticity (PV) gradient. This effect is a baroclinic equivalent of the so-called nonlinear barotropic “β drift” and combines the nonlinear advection and vertical stretching terms. These results are confirmed when the anomalies are initially located south of a confined westerly jet. The poleward shift of the lower cyclonic anomaly occurs faster when the vertically averaged PV gradient is strongly positive, which happens when the jet has a large barotropic component. The lower anomaly crosses the jet from the warm to the cold side and deepens afterward. After a detailed description of this regeneration process with the help of an energy budget, it is shown that linear dynamics are not able to reproduce such behavior.