Randomized trial explores terminal supercriticality and depth conditions in finite Collatz bridges, suggesting new insights into classic problems.
We study finite orbit segments of the shortcut Collatz map in shifted coordinates. A terminal word is called multiplier-supercritical when its linear multiplier exceeds one. For a bridge ending at height k with overshoot U, we prove an exact depth-by-depth criterion for terminal supercriticality. The criterion is governed by the resonance 2^≈ 3^(log 2/log 3), yields a terminal depth that diverges whenever k→∞ and U/k→0, and is attained by explicit finite orbit segments at infinitely many first-failure depths. At fixed letter counts, the classical extremal affine word is the two-phase block ʳʰ. Starting from this known extremum, we express the deficit from the extremal affine constant as a positive weighted inversion sum. Every nonextremal word has relative deficit strictly greater than $1/6$; hence a near-threshold terminal suffix is forced to equal ʳʰ exactly. We then show that finite $2$-adic and $3$-adic congruence requirements never obstruct embedding a prescribed finite prefix, although bounded displacement selects at most one point in each resulting displacement lattice. Compressing the prefix into two affine coordinates gives an exact balance identity and a dichotomy: either the complete power ratio approaches neutrality, or the prefix contains a low odd state. In the latter deep-reset regime, the return to endpoint scale contains an unbounded ladder of record endpoints, each carrying a multiplier-supercritical terminal layer, immediately before a one-letter supercritical/subcritical interface and the exact two-phase block. All statements concern finite bridges; the Collatz conjecture remains open.
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Ueoka et al. (2026) studied this question.
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