Acknowledgements Preface to second edition Preface to first edition 1. Introduction 2. El Nino 3. A tale of two histories 4. The biography of El Nino 5. The biography of La Nina 6. The 1982-1983 El Nino: a case of an anomalous anomaly 7. Forecasting El Nino 8. Forecasting the 1997-1998 El Nino 9. Teleconnections 10. El Nino's ecological impacts: The Galapagos 11. Methods used to identify El Nino 12. El Nino and health 13. The media, El Nino and La Nina: a study in media-rology 14. Why do ENSO events continue to surprise us? 15. What people need to know about El Nino 16. Usable science Appendix References.
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Patt et al. (2001) studied this question.