Why the study?
Does an initially negative ECG predict lower hospital complication rates in patients with acute myocardial infarction?
Does an initially negative ECG predict lower hospital complication rates in patients with acute myocardial infarction?
AMI patients presenting with a negative ECG have similar rates of in-hospital complications compared to those with a positive ECG, indicating that a negative initial ECG does not guarantee a benign hospital course.
Negative initial ECG should not reassure on lower AMI risk; leaves open whether ECG refines contemporary complication prediction.
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients who have negative ECGs on presentation have significantly lower complication rates than do those AMI patients who have positive ECGs on presentation. METHODS: Retrospective, cohort analysis comparing rates of hospital complications (ventricular fibrillation or tachycardia, shock, atrial arrhythmia or bradyarrhythmia with systolic blood pressure < or = 90 mm Hg, pulmonary edema) or interventions among patients with a final hospital diagnosis of AMI and an initially negative vs positive ECG. A negative ECG was normal or had nonspecific ST-segment and/or T-wave abnormalities (upright, flattened T waves; an isolated inverted T wave; ST depression < 0.1 mV; tall T waves with J-point elevation) or minor nonischemic abnormalities. Sample size was adequate to detect a 30% between-group difference in complication rates [alpha = 0.05, 1 - beta (power) = 0.80]. RESULTS: The 27 negative-ECG AMI patients differed from the 38 control patients in (mean +/- SD) age [57 +/- 12 vs 66 +/- 12 years, p < 0.01] but not in gender or history of AMI. The negative- and positive-ECG groups had similar rates of hospital complications [30% (95% CI: 13-47%) vs 42% (95% CI: 26-58%), p = 0.44] and intensive procedures [19% (95% CI: 4-34%) vs 29% (95% CI: 15-43%), p = 0.50], respectively. The negative-ECG patients with hospital complications had ECG evolution precede the event in 83% (95% CI: 69-97%) of cases; persistently negative-ECG patients had no complications [(95% CI: 0-33%), p = 0.06]. CONCLUSIONS: Negative- and positive-ECG AMI patients do not have moderate or large differences in the rates of in-hospital complications. Most negative-ECG patients who suffer complications evolve ECG changes prior to the event and such changes indicate the potential need for a higher level of care.
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Zalenski et al. (1996) studied this question.
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