Key result
The TMC approach for indirect estimation of reference limits suggests applying age- and sex-stratified reference limits for high-sensitive cardiac troponin T instead of a fixed 99th percentile.
Why the study?
The recommended 99th percentile decision limit for hs cTnT derived from a healthy subpopulation has been questioned, and indirect models fail when many values are below detection limits.
A new statistical approach (TMC) suggests that age- and sex-stratified reference limits for hs-cTnT should replace the currently recommended fixed 99th percentile decision limit.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Requires prospective validation before adopting age- and sex-stratified hs-cTnT limits; leaves open effects on MI diagnosis and outcomes.
A new model for the indirect estimation of reference limits (RLs) has been proposed recently and was coined TMC approach (truncated minimum chi-square estimation) which can be performed with R statistic. A spline function is applied to the RLs to get a continuous function if age is graphically presented vs. the RLs avoiding artificial “jumps” between different age groups. Most indirect models assume a power normal distribution and fail if this assumption is not fulfilled as e.g. if a relatively high percentage of measured values is below the detection limit and the data are distributed extremely skewed. This problem is handled by the TMC model. High-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs cTnT) was chosen as an example. The hs cTnT concentration in serum or plasma is well accepted as a valuable marker in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. Currently, the 99th percentile derived from a “healthy” subpopulation is the decision limit recommended by consensus groups. However, this decision limit is questioned by several authors for many reasons. In the present report, the 97.5th and the 99th percentile limits were reinvestigated by the TMC model with different subpopulations stratified according to age and sex and were finally compared to presently recommended decision limits. In summary, the generally recommended 99th percentile as a fixed decision limit should be reconsidered. It is suggested to apply more specific reference limits stratified for age and sex instead of a fixed decision limit.
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Haeckel et al. (2020) studied acute myocardial infarction. TMC approach (truncated minimum chi-square estimation) vs. fixed decision limit (99th percentile) was evaluated on 97.5th and 99th percentile reference limits of hs cTnT. The TMC approach for indirect estimation of reference limits suggests applying age- and sex-stratified reference limits for high-sensitive cardiac troponin T instead of a fixed 99th percentile.
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