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A multi-stage influence diagram is used to model the pilot's sequential decision making in one on one air combat. The model based on the multi-stage influence diagram graphically describes the elements of decision process, and contains a point-mass model for the dynamics of an aircraft and takes into account the decision maker's preferences under uncertain conditions. Considering an active opponent, the opponent's maneuvers can be modeled stochastically. The solution of multistage influence diagram can be obtained by converting the multistage influence diagram into a two-level optimization problem. The simulation results show the model is effective.
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Lin et al. (2007) studied this question.
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