Unified theory develops volatility surfaces dynamics and arbitrage frameworks, enhancing financial modeling and hedging.
This paper develops a unified mathematical theory of implied, local, and learned volatility surfaces. Total variance wₜ(k,τ)=τσₜ²(k,τ) is an infinite-dimensional state constrained by positivity, calendar monotonicity, and the butterfly differential inequality. We establish the topology and tangent geometry of this arbitrage set and prove that a nondegenerate Gaussian shock at an active constraint exits with probability tending to one half. Exact invariance therefore requires tangency, reflection, or confinement to an arbitrage-free manifold. We separate this static invariance problem from dynamic no-arbitrage, derive the Musiela maturity-transport identity, and identify the additional fixed-contract martingale restriction. We formulate Hilbert-space dynamics, prove an exact modal reduction with closed-form truncation error, derive Karhunen--Lo\`eve factors, identify the portfolio derivative as a vega field, and obtain the covariance-optimal hedge α⁼(H^ C H)⁻¹H^ Cν. The local-volatility chart completes the geometry: Dupire local variance is the ratio a=∂_τ w/g[w] of the calendar and butterfly constraint functionals. Neural operators provide arbitrage-free universal approximation through simplex and cone heads. Normalizing-flow maps then add tractable conditional densities: we derive exact change-of-variables formulae for exponential local-variance flows and invertible stick-breaking price-simplex flows, while stating the quasi-invariance conditions required in genuine function space. Finally, fading-signature fields encode surface history and yield autonomous finite-dimensional controlled dynamics. The result is one framework for representation, dynamics, arbitrage, dimension reduction, likelihood-based learning, simulation, and hedging, together with a falsifiable empirical protocol.
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Miquel Noguer Alonso (2026) studied this question.
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