In the stream culvert discharge design guidelines of the Forest Practices Code (FPC) of British Columbia (BC), the 100-year instantaneous flood (Q 100 ) is assumed to be three times as large as the mean annual flood (Q 2 ) regardless of basin characteristics and location in the province. A regional linear moment analysis of annual maximum flows is used to demonstrate that this assumption is invalid and that Q 100 /Q 2 ratios vary substantially with basin area and climate. For the snowmelt-dominated peak flows in the Columbia and southern Rocky Mountains, Q 100 /Q 2 decreases slightly with increasing drainage area, from 2.3 (1 km 2 ) to 1.9 (100 km 2 ). For the flood peaks generated by rainfall and rain on snow in coastal BC, this range is 3.12.6. In the semi-arid Interior Plateau region, variability in Q 100 /Q 2 ratios is most dramatic. For a 10-km 2 basin, the calculated Q 100 /Q 2 ratio of 4.9 is 1.6 times the assumed factor of 3, while for a 1-km 2 basin Q 100 /Q 2 is 7.5 or 2.5 times this factor. Underestimating Q 100 /Q 2 may lead to underdesign and early failure of road culverts, and therefore, current FPC guidelines for estimating the 100-year instantaneous flood may have serious adverse economic and environmental consequences in small Interior Plateau watersheds.
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Beckers et al. (2002) studied this question.
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