Operational Earthquake Forecasting Can Enhance Earthquake Preparedness

Editorial| September 01, 2014 Operational Earthquake Forecasting Can Enhance Earthquake Preparedness T. H. Jordan; T. H. Jordan aSouthern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089‐0742 U.S.A.tjordan@usc.edu Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar W. Marzocchi; W. Marzocchi bIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Roma, Italywarner.marzocchi@ingv.it Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar A. J. Michael; A. J. Michael cU.S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road MS 977, Menlo Park, California 94025 U.S.A.michael@usgs.gov Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar M. C. Gerstenberger M. C. Gerstenberger dGNS Science, PO Box 30‐368, Lower Hutt 5040 Wellington, New Zealandm.gerstenberger@gns.cri.nz Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Author and Article Information T. H. Jordan aSouthern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089‐0742 U.S.A.tjordan@usc.edu W. Marzocchi bIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Roma, Italywarner.marzocchi@ingv.it A. J. Michael cU.S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road MS 977, Menlo Park, California 94025 U.S.A.michael@usgs.gov M. C. Gerstenberger dGNS Science, PO Box 30‐368, Lower Hutt 5040 Wellington, New Zealandm.gerstenberger@gns.cri.nz Publisher: Seismological Society of America First Online: 14 Jul 2017 Online ISSN: 1938-2057 Print ISSN: 0895-0695 © 2014 by the Seismological Society of America Seismological Research Letters (2014) 85 (5): 955–959. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140143 Article history First Online: 14 Jul 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation T. H. Jordan, W. Marzocchi, A. J. Michael, M. C. Gerstenberger; Operational Earthquake Forecasting Can Enhance Earthquake Preparedness. Seismological Research Letters 2014;; 85 (5): 955–959. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140143 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietySeismological Research Letters Search Advanced Search We cannot yet predict large earthquakes in the short term with much reliability and skill, but the strong clustering exhibited in seismic sequences tells us that earthquake probabilities are not constant in time; they generally rise and fall over periods of days to years in correlation with nearby seismic activity. Operational earthquake forecasting (OEF) is the dissemination of authoritative information about these time‐dependent probabilities to help communities prepare for potentially destructive earthquakes. The goal of OEF is to inform the decisions that people and organizations must continually make to mitigate seismic risk and prepare for potentially destructive earthquakes on time... You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.