Waist Circumference Change During Intensive Lifestyle Intervention and Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in the Look AHEAD Trial

OBJECTIVE: The Action for Health in Diabetes (Look AHEAD) trial was a randomized trial comparing effects of intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) and diabetes support and education (DSE) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) among individuals with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes. A secondary analysis was conducted to evaluate the association between change in weight and waist circumference (WC) and CVD outcomes. METHODS: Participants (N = 5,490) were classified into four categories based on change in weight and WC between baseline and year 1 (both increased, both decreased, etc.). Separate Cox proportional hazards regression models were fit for ILI and DSE (using group that reduced weight/WC as reference), and time to first occurrence of primary and secondary CVD outcomes from year 1 through a median of almost 10 years were compared. Second, time to first event among all four ILI groups relative to DSE was evaluated. RESULTS: Within DSE, CVD outcomes did not differ. ILI participants with increased WC had increased risk of primary outcomes, regardless of weight loss (hazard ratio: 1.55 [95% CI: 1.11-2.17]) or weight gain (hazard ratio: 1.76 [95% CI: 1.07-2.89]), and had increased risk of secondary outcomes (overall P < 0.01) relative to ILI participants who reduced both weight and WC and relative to DSE participants. CONCLUSIONS: In this secondary analysis, increased WC during the first year of ILI, independent of weight change, was associated with higher risk for subsequent cardiovascular outcomes.