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We give a first‐order, analytic estimate of the dynamical change in column ozone density as a function of temperature change in the lower stratosphere. It is found that for each 1% (∼2°C) cooling averaged over the lower stratosphere, the column ozone density can be expected to decrease by approximately 7%, if it can be assumed that such a temperature change is induced by changes in wave transports.
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Tung et al. (1988) studied this question.
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