Tracking a Markov-Modulated Stationary Degree Distribution of a Dynamic Random Graph

This paper considers a Markov-modulated duplication-deletion random graph where at each time instant, one node can either join or leave the network; the probabilities of joining or leaving evolve according to the realization of a finite state Markov chain. Two results are presented. First, motivated by social network applications, the asymptotic behavior of the degree distribution is analyzed. Second, a stochastic approximation algorithm is presented to track empirical degree distribution as it evolves over time. The tracking performance of the algorithm is analyzed in terms of mean square error and a functional central limit theorem is presented for the asymptotic tracking error. Also, a Hilbert-space-valued stochastic approximation algorithm that tracks a Markov-modulated probability mass function with support on the set of nonnegative integers is analyzed.