Why the study?
Do pre-stroke blood pressure levels and their 5-year changes predict short-term mortality after a first stroke in men?
Do pre-stroke blood pressure levels and their 5-year changes predict short-term mortality after a first stroke in men?
High systolic blood pressure and large positive 5-year changes in systolic blood pressure prior to a stroke are significant predictors of short-term mortality.
May refine short-term mortality risk stratification after first stroke; hypothesis-generating for BP trajectory monitoring, requires prospective validation.
The relation between blood pressure before stroke and survival after the event, was examined in the Manitoba study cohort of 3983 men. The last recorded blood pressure before the first stroke and the change in blood pressure from a measurement 5 years earlier were used. Increasing magnitude of systolic blood pressure and its 5-year changes were associated with worsening prognosis. The same association was less apparent for diastolic blood pressure and was not found for 5-year change in diastolic pressure. After adjusting for the effect of age at stroke and previous evidence of ischemic heart disease in multivariate analysis, systolic blood pressure and its 5-year change were each significant predictors of short-term (30 days) mortality. Considering all these factors as well as diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure was the best predictor of short-term mortality. Thus, high blood pressure and large positive 5-year change in systolic blood pressure before stroke occurrence are significant predictors of a poor prognosis.
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Simon W. Rabkin (1978) studied this question.
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