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August 14, 2026Evaluation Review

Causal Identification in Crime Research: Lessons From Structural Causal Models

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Authors

FBFırat Bilgel

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Overview

Methodological analysis demonstrates how structural causal models clarify identification challenges in criminal justice research, highlighting pathways to prevent bias in observational studies.

Key Points

  • Address causal identification challenges in observational criminology research and demonstrate the utility of structural causal models for clarifying underlying theoretical assumptions.
  • Applied structural causal models (SCMs) and directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to diagnostic case studies in crime and criminal justice research.
  • Differentiated causal identification assumptions from statistical estimation techniques across standard observational research scenarios.
  • Structural causal models explicitly diagnosed critical identification pitfalls, including collider bias and the inclusion of inadmissible covariate sets or invalid instruments.
  • Causal diagrams successfully established formal identification strategies, improving the credibility and transparency of causal claims in applied criminology.

Cite This Study

Fırat Bilgel (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7ec71db70b84ec8b9132d5https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841x261469611
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