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August 14, 2026Sustainability and Climate Change

Economic Structure, Policy Credibility, and Technology in Shaping ESG Uncertainty: Evidence from G7 Economies

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Authors

HIHussain Muhammad IrshadDTDramane ThiombianoALAnne Yenching Liu

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Overview

Panel econometric study reveals structural and policy drivers of ESG uncertainty in G7 economies, highlighting the need for predictable environmental regulations and sustained innovation.

Key Points

  • To investigate the endogenous drivers and heterogeneous determinants of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) uncertainty across G7 economies.
  • Analyzed annual panel data across G7 economies spanning 2002 to 2019.
  • Employed Pooled Mean Group estimation and panel quantile autoregressive distributed lag (PQARDL) modeling.
  • Conducted Juodis, Karavias, and Sarafidis (JKS) Granger noncausality tests to determine directional relationships.
  • Technological innovation and service sector expansion consistently reduce ESG uncertainty across economic quantiles.
  • Environmental policy stringency paradoxically increases long-run ESG uncertainty, while political stability displays regime-dependent effects.
  • Economic globalization stabilizes ESG uncertainty primarily in economies with strong institutional capacity, supported by directional Granger causality.

Cite This Study

Irshad et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7ec7bab70b84ec8b9144c4https://doi.org/10.1177/26922932261472984
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