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August 15, 2026npj Primary Care Respiratory MedicineOpen Access

Using AI to determine optimal cost-effective diagnostic pathways for chronic breathlessness

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Authors

MOMax OlssonRARafsan AhmedJEJoakim Ekstrand

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Overview

Machine learning model identifies cost-effective diagnostic sequences for moderate-to-severe breathlessness, indicating initial lung-focused testing reduces diagnostic costs.

Key Points

  • To develop an artificial intelligence reinforcement learning framework that determines optimal, low-cost diagnostic pathways for individuals presenting with chronic breathlessness.
  • Trained a reinforcement learning model using Swedish population data from individuals with moderate to severe breathlessness.
  • Modeled 16 clinically relevant conditions alongside their associated diagnostic tests and standard healthcare costs across subgroups stratified by sex and smoking history.
  • The AI model produced consistent, low-cost diagnostic pathways with high diagnostic yield across all evaluated subgroups.
  • The optimal diagnostic sequence prioritized evaluations of body mass index, anxiety, depression, physical activity, and spirometry, followed by diffusing capacity, chest CT, and hemoglobin testing, placing pulmonary investigations ahead of cardiac testing.

Cite This Study

Olsson et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a801a2875c2e31742c86beehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41533-026-00548-9
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