Why the study?
Does the InsCor risk score accurately predict mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery?
Does the InsCor risk score accurately predict mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery?
The InsCor risk score is easily applicable and provides satisfactory mortality prediction for patients undergoing cardiac surgery in a Brazilian university hospital.
May support InsCor for mortality prediction in Brazilian cardiac surgery; extends validation but leaves open prospective confirmation.
Objective: To apply the InsCor in patients undergoing cardiac surgery in a university hospital in Brazil's northeast. Methods: It is a retrospective, quantitative and analytical study, carried out at the University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão. InsCor is a remodeling of two risk score models. It evaluates the prediction of mortality through variables such as gender, age, type of surgery or reoperation, exams, and preoperative events. Data from January to December 2015 were collected, using a Physical Therapy Evaluation Form and medical records. Quantitative variables were expressed as mean and standard deviation and qualitative variables as absolute and relative frequencies. Fisher's exact and Kruskal-Wallis tests were applied, considering significant differences when P value was < 0.05. Calibration was performed by Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Results: One hundred and forty-eight patients were included. Thirty-six percent were female, with mean age of 54.7±15.8 years and mean body mass index (BMI) equal to 25.6 kg/m(2). The most frequent surgery was coronary artery bypass grafting (51.3%). According to InsCor, 73.6% of the patients had low risk, 20.3% medium risk, and only 6.1% high risk. In this sample, 11 (7.4%) patients died. The percentage of death in patients classified as low, medium and high risk was 6.3, 7.1% and 11.1%, respectively. Conclusion: InsCor presented easy applicability due to the reduced number of variables analyzed and it showed satisfactory prediction of mortality in this sample of cardiac surgery patients.
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Fortes et al. (2016) studied this question.
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