Predictive modeling study reveals superior financial risk classification using deep belief networks in textile firms, indicating that integrating ESG metrics enhances default detection.
The global textile and leather industry faces mounting pressure from market volatility, supply-chain uncertainty, financial risk, and ESG-related disclosure requirements. This study constructs an enterprise financial health rating system based on a Deep Belief Network (DBN). The sample includes 247 listed companies in the textile, apparel, and leather products sectors from the Shanghai-Shenzhen A-share markets and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange during 2013–2023, yielding 2,486 firm-year observations. Eighteen core features are extracted across five analytical dimensions: solvency, operational efficiency, profitability, cash flow quality, and ESG financial disclosure. A three-layer stacked Restricted Boltzmann Machine architecture combined with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization is used to perform seven-tier classification. The DBN model outperforms Logistic Regression, SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM across major metrics, achieving an AUC-ROC of 0.9218, a macro-averaged F1 score of 0.8312, and a KS statistic of 0.7134. Ablation experiments further show that incorporating ESG financial indicators improves high-risk rating identification accuracy by 3.24 percentage points. SHAP interpretability analysis provides traceable evidence for rating decisions. The system can therefore serve as a deployable intelligent rating tool for credit institutions and supply-chain finance platforms.
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J. Z. Lin (2026) studied this question.
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