Predictive factors for 24 weeks sustained virologic response (SVR24) and viral relapse in patients treated with simeprevir plus peginterferon and ribavirin

BACKGROUND: Simeprevir with peginterferon and ribavirin has been used for the treatment of chronic hepatitis caused by genotype 1 hepatitis C virus (HCV). We explored the predictive factors for sustained virological response (SVR) and viral relapse using datasets from four Japanese phase 3 studies (CONCERTO). METHODS: We used a multiple logistic regression model. First, an integrated dataset comprising 357 patients was analyzed. Subsequently, prior treatment-naïve and relapser (223 patients) and nonresponder (134 patients) of interferon-based treatment subsets were analyzed to identify predictors of SVR. A subset of nonresponders (106 patients) who were treated ≥24 weeks was also analyzed to identify predictors for viral relapse. RESULTS: In the integrated dataset, prior treatment response was significantly associated with SVR. In subset analyses, interleukin-28B (IL28B) TT genotype and undetectable plasma HCV RNA level at week 4 were associated in treatment-naïve patients and relapsers [odds ratio (OR); 4.106 and 3.701, respectively]. In the nonresponders, the IL28B TT genotype population was very small, and inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) and undetectable plasma HCV RNA at week 4 were associated (OR; 2.506 and 3.333, respectively). Furthermore, ribavirin dose intensity (RBV-DI) and detectable plasma HCV RNA at week 4 were significantly associated with viral relapse (OR; 0.327 and 2.922, respectively). CONCLUSION: IL28B and plasma HCV RNA level at week 4 were clinically relevant predictive factors for SVR in treatment-naïve patients and relapsers. Moreover, RBV-DI and plasma HCV level at week 4 were identified as relevant predictive factors for viral relapse in nonresponders.