Prediction of Deep Myometrial Invasion in Patients with Endometrial Cancer: Clinical Utility of Contrast-enhanced MR Imaging-A Meta-analysis and Bayesian Analysis

PURPOSE: To determine if, in a patient with an endometrial cancer, in addition to the knowledge of tumor grade, preoperative magnetic resonance (MR) imaging findings contribute to treatment stratification and specialist referral. MATERIALS AND METHODS: By using a MEDLINE literature search and institutional pathology reports, pretest probabilities for myometrial invasion were correlated with tumor grade. Likelihood ratios (LRs) were obtained through summary receiver operating characteristics. RESULTS: The mean pretest probabilities of deep myometrial invasion were derived from seven articles (1,875 patients) and from 125 institutional pathology reports. LRs for the prediction of myometrial invasion with contrast-enhanced MR imaging were derived from nine studies (742 patients); positive and negative LRs were 10.11 and 0.1, respectively. The mean weighted pretest probabilities of deep myometrial invasion in patients with tumor grades 1, 2, or 3 were 13%, 35%, or 54%, respectively. Posttest probabilities of deep myometrial invasion for grades 1, 2, or 3 increased to 60%, 84%, or 92%, respectively, for positive and decreased to 1%, 5%, or 10%, respectively, for negative MR imaging findings. CONCLUSION: Use of contrast-enhanced MR imaging significantly affects the posttest probability of deep myometrial invasion in patients with all grades of endometrial cancer and could be used to select patients for specialist referral.