Key result
Clinical features such as positive blood cultures (OR 17.2; 90% CI 4.9-58.8) and splenomegaly (OR 18.2) were strong independent predictors of infective endocarditis.
Why the study?
Do classical clinical features and blood investigations at presentation predict the diagnosis of infective endocarditis in patients with suspected IE?
Cross-Sectional (n=108)
Do classical clinical features and blood investigations at presentation predict the diagnosis of infective endocarditis in patients with suspected IE?
Odds Ratio: 17.2 (95% CI 4.9–58.8)
Classical clinical features such as positive blood cultures, signs of embolism, and a changing heart murmur remain strong independent predictors for the diagnosis of infective endocarditis and should guide investigation prior to echocardiography.
Classical features may refine pretest probability in suspected IE; hypothesis-generating from cross-sectional data and needs prospective validation.
BACKGROUND: Infective endocarditis (IE) can be difficult to diagnose, due to multiple (often non-specific) presenting features. AIM: To assess the predictive accuracy of classical clinical features and blood investigations readily available at the time of presentation. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis. METHODS: We studied 29 IE cases and 79 controls (clinically suspicious contemporaneous cases where IE was subsequently excluded) from a hospital-based group of patients referred to a cardiac department with possible infective endocarditis. Patients were identified from the echocardiography database. Cases were defined by final diagnosis. Symptoms, signs, risk factors for IE and blood investigations were recorded from case notes and examined by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) for detection of IE in clinically suspected cases were 71%, 98%, 57% and 99%, respectively. Univariate analyses revealed a significant association between IE and several clinical features. Under multivariate analysis, previous heart valve surgery (OR 13.3, 90%CI 3.2-55.6), positive blood cultures (OR 17.2, 90%CI 4.9-58.8), signs of embolism (OR 11.4, 90%CI 3.0-43.5), a new, altered or changing murmur (OR 10.3, 90%CI 2.8-38.5) and splenomegaly (OR 18.2, 90%CI 3.6-90.9) were independent predictors for IE. DISCUSSION: Clinical features at presentation continue to be important for the diagnosis of IE. Features such as positive blood cultures, signs of embolism and a changing heart murmur should be used to guide investigation and treatment of IE prior to echocardiography, or when TTE is negative.
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Todd et al. (2005) conducted a cross-sectional in Infective endocarditis (n=108). Clinical features (e.g., positive blood cultures) vs. Absence of clinical features was evaluated on Diagnosis of infective endocarditis (OR 17.2, 95% CI 4.9-58.8). Clinical features such as positive blood cultures (OR 17.2; 90% CI 4.9-58.8) and splenomegaly (OR 18.2) were strong independent predictors of infective endocarditis.
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