Drill-Core SWIR-Based 3D Alteration Modeling and Machine Learning for Gold Prospectivity Prediction at the Tudui–Shawang Gold Deposit, Jiaodong Peninsula

Deep exploration in mature gold districts requires subsurface alteration evidence that can be related quantitatively to three-dimensional (3D) geological architecture. This study develops a workflow for the Tudui–Shawang deposit in the Muping–Rushan metallogenic belt that integrates drill-core short-wave infrared (SWIR) spectroscopy, 3D alteration modeling, ore-controlling geological constraints, positive–unlabeled (PU) learning, and ensemble prospectivity prediction. A total of 2140 spectra from 10 drillholes were processed to identify mineral assemblages, extract spectral scalars and feature-shape attributes, classify alteration facies, and construct continuous 3D alteration evidence. Discrete smooth interpolation and indicator kriging were used for continuous and categorical attributes, respectively, and CatBoost, LightGBM, XGBoost, and Random Forest were evaluated within a spatially separated PU-bagging design. Quantitative analyses show that individual SWIR attributes have weak deposit-scale relationships with Au grade. Nevertheless, local IC minima, relatively lower pos2200 values near several mineralized intervals, alteration-facies transitions, and a broader shift toward longer pos2250 wavelengths characterize relevant parts of the mineralized system. FUSE performed best under 1 km × 1 km spatial holdout validation, with an ROC AUC of 0.8900 and a PRAUC of 0.8926. Prediction-area analysis and the 3D probability volume delineated three ranked exploration targets (T1–T3). The results show that drill-core SWIR-derived 3D alteration evidence, when integrated with ore-controlling geology and spatially validated machine learning, provides a practical basis for target prioritization in mature gold districts.