In this correspondence, we report an interesting behavior of the extended Kalman filter (EKF) when it is used to filter a chaotic system. We show both theoretically and experimentally that the gain of the EKF does not converge or diverge but oscillates aperiodically. More precisely, when a nonlinear system is periodic, the Kalman gain and error covariance of the EKF converge to zero. However, when the system is chaotic, they either converge to a fixed point with magnitude larger than zero or oscillate. Our theoretical analyses are verified using Monte Carlo simulations based on some popular chaotic systems.
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Leung et al. (2000) studied this question.
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