Quantitative analysis reveals severe weather drives South American migration to Spain amid high worker overqualification, suggesting policy reforms can resolve demographic labor deficits.
This thesis studies the intersection of Spain’s demographic labor shortage and the global climate crisis. Whilst often studied in isolation, this research argues that migration from climate-stressed regions in Africa and Latin America can help fill gaps in the Spanish economy. A quantitative analysis of data from 2008 to 2021 reveals that a 10% increase in the population affected by severe weather events correlates with a 1.45% increase in migration from South America to Spain. However, the current reactive framework contributes to talent waste, as 54% of foreign workers with university degrees are overqualified for their current positions. To ensure economic stability, I recommend a policy turn towards ethical government-to-government (G2G) agreements, streamlined recognition of foreign certifications, and scaling green training initiatives.
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John Ronald Angrilla (2026) studied this question.
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