Californias Attorney General was pleased to announce that An unintended but positive consequence of Three-Strikes has been the impact on parolees leaving the state .The growth in the number of parolees leaving California is staggering. Law enforcement officers in other states were presumably less pleased. A displaced criminal is a benefit to California but a cost to other states. If such criminal spillovers are important, law enforcement will over-invest in policies that encourage displacement. We test whether Californias three-strikes law led to significant criminal spillovers.
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Tabarrok et al. (2009) studied this question.