Theoretical analysis explores first decay arrival times in finite radioactive samples, highlighting fundamental gaps in determining individual decay events versus collective statistical metrics.
Schrödinger's original Cat explicitly refers to both “one of the atoms decays” and “the first atomic decay.” This paper examines the first decay occurrence of a finite radioactive sample. Let t₁ denote the time of the first atomic decay. Existing quantities such as half-life, decay constant, mean lifetime, and activity describe radioactive decay collectively, whereas t₁ identifies the first actual decay occurrence of a particular sample. Probability theory contains well-developed treatments of first occurrences, including waiting times, first-arrival times, first-passage times, hitting times, and related stochastic processes. Such treatments require information about the underlying process. This raises two distinct questions for radioactive decay: what information determines the probability distribution of t₁, and what information, if any, determines the actual t₁ of a particular finite sample of a given radioactive isotope before the first decay occurs?
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dong ZHANG (2026) studied this question.
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