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August 28, 2026Sustainable FuturesOpen Access

AI-Enabled governance for sustainable cities: evaluating the credibility of urban climate disclosures and greenwashing risks

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Authors

CHCao HongNational Taiwan Normal UniversityHCHan-Wei ChenNational Taiwan UniversityCCChialin ChenInternational Monetary Fund

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Overview

Computational evaluation reveals distinct greenwashing patterns across 537 municipal climate disclosures, highlighting disparities between symbolic commitments and implementation capabilities.

Key Points

  • To develop an explainable AI framework that evaluates the credibility of city-level climate sustainability disclosures and detects greenwashing risks.
  • Evaluated N=537 municipal responses from the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) Cities dataset using an AI framework combining large language models (LLMs) and explainable AI (XAI).
  • Executed a three-stage workflow featuring LLM-based scoring, surrogate XGBoost modeling interpreted through SHAP analysis, and validation via chi-square analysis.
  • The surrogate XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive fit with LLM credibility scores (R² = 0.995), with SHAP analysis showing governance, assessment, monitoring, and citizen engagement were the primary drivers of higher scores.
  • Chi-square testing uncovered divergent greenwashing profiles, characterized by symbolic overpromising in A-List cities and structural or procedural implementation deficits in Non-A-List cities.

Cite This Study

Hong et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9145ead15324a1df3a9178https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2026.102113
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