Spatial analysis demonstrates natural hazard risks warrant a 20–45% reduction in cadastral valuation for vulnerable urban plots, highlighting the need for safety-adjusted land pricing.
Existing state cadastral land valuation methodologies often focus exclusively on economic factors while ignoring geo-environmental hazards. This paper proposes a mechanism for incorporating seismic risk indicators and environmental degradation into the cadastral model to improve pricing accuracy. Using four cadastral blocks in the Bostandyk District of Almaty as a case study, the authors applied MAVT and AHP methods, integrating seismic microzonation data and satellite monitoring (Sentinel-2, Landsat 8) to calculate a comprehensive risk coefficient (Krisk). According to spatial analysis data, the presence of natural hazards serves as a valid criterion for reducing the cadastral valuation of vulnerable land plots by 20–45%. The proposed methodology ensures a balance between market valuation and environmental safety, representing a scalable tool for urban land management in seismically active zones.
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Kultemirov et al. (2026) studied this question.
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