Optimal Defense Theory: Elasticity Analysis as a Tool to Predict Intraplant Variation in Defenses

Optimal defense theory (ODT) predicts that plants should have the highest defense levels in parts that have the highest value in terms of fitness. Assumptions about differences in fitness value among plant parts have previously been based on general reasoning, e.g., that reproductive tissue is more valuable than vegetative tissue since fitness ultimately depends on reproduction. Here we present a first example of how demographic elasticity (proportional sensitivity) analysis can be used as a tool to generate more objective and specific estimates of the fitness value of different plant parts, based on the entire life cycle. These estimates were further used to generate testable predictions about intraplant variation in defenses of the brown seaweed Ascophyllum nodosum (knotted wrack). The predictions were clearly supported by the results from both analyses of chemical defense levels (phlorotannins) and bioassays (feeding preference experiments), which showed that reproductive tissues had the lowest defense level of the three examined tissue types, in contrast to previous assumptions. We suggest that a stronger focus on variation in life history among species and populations, with demographic perturbation analysis as one important tool, could lead to a better understanding of intraplant variation in defense levels, in seaweeds as well as vascular plants and other modular organisms.