Using secondary data from various sources, a model was adopted as installed in Demproj. software program to determine the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS epidemic in Addis Ababa. It was found that the adult HIV prevalence will reach a plateau level of about 10.8% in the year 2001 and 10.3% in the year 2004 respectively. AIDS will slow the decline in infant mortality rate and under 5 mortality rates and will increase crude death rate and lower the life expectancy at birth by about 15 years by 2004 compared to the "no AIDS" scenario. AIDS will reduce the size of the Addis Ababa population by about 160,000 people by the year 2004, but will not stop or make its growth negative. Based on the above findings preventive measures such as STD control, condom promotion, IEC and blood screening, and approaching the problem multisectorally, incorporating the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the demographic projection and establishing HIV/AIDS data base were recommended.
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A 1998 study studied this question.