Dependence of weed flora on the active soil seedbank

Previous studies have shown that reliable predictions of the above‐ground weed flora may not be obtainable by using the total number of seeds in the seedbank. The purpose of this study was to determine if the actual weed flora depends on the active soil seedbank (seeds that are germinable in the spring). In the 1995 growing season, seedling emergence was monitored within permanent quadrats established in a field. Soil cores taken from the same field were also monitored for seedling emergence in a greenhouse to estimate the number of seeds in the active soil seedbank. Significant positive relationships were observed between the above two variables based on either total weed flora or individual weed species commonly found in south‐western Ontario, Canada. For relatively large‐seeded species, the relationship held with a sampling depth up to 15 cm below the soil surface. For small‐seeded species, a shallow sampling depth (0–7·5 cm) generated better results than deeper sampling (0–15 cm). In general, 3–7% of the seeds in the active soil seedbank were capable of producing seedlings in the field. The results suggest that the level of weed infestation in a growing season may be predicted using seeds in the active soil seedbank.