The use of transport/storage cask for spent fuel storage is considered to be rational and economical. Since the storage duration may continue for 40 years or so, the function of sealing radioactive materials in the casks must be reliable for long-term. Long-term containment test of full-scale spent fuel transport/storage cask models have been in progress since 1990 in CRIEPI, Japan. It has been 11 years since it started. The results so far demonstrate and confirm very reliable containment performance of the cask lid structure with metal gaskets. Using the test data it is predicted by Larson-Miller Parameter (LMP) method that the containment system will keep its integrity at least for 40 years.
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Itoh et al. (2003) studied this question.