Key result
A combination of 5 clinical and 4 lesion features significantly predicted major adverse cardiac events at 2 years after bifurcation percutaneous coronary intervention (AUC 0.657).
Why the study?
Bifurcation PCI is associated with higher risk of clinical events, but the clinical and lesion features that predict adverse outcomes and their differential prognostic impact needed to be determined.
Observational (n=5,537)
Yes
Effect estimate: AUC 0.657 (95% CI 0.631-0.683)
p-value: p=<0.001
Combining clinical and lesion features improves the prediction of major adverse cardiac events after bifurcation PCI, with clinical features driving hard endpoints and lesion features driving lesion-oriented outcomes.
May aid post-bifurcation PCI risk stratification; supports integrated models but leaves open prospective validation.
Bifurcation percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with higher risk of clinical events. This study aimed to determine clinical and lesion features that predict adverse outcomes, and to evaluate the differential prognostic impact of these features in patients undergoing PCI for bifurcation lesions. We analyzed 5,537 patients from the BIFURCAT (comBined Insights From the Unified RAIN and COBIS bifurcAtion regisTries) registry. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 2-year follow-up; secondary outcomes included hard endpoints (all-cause death, myocardial infarction) and lesion-oriented clinical outcomes (LOCO) (target-vessel myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularization). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model was used for feature selection. During the 2-year follow-up period, MACE occurred in 492 patients (8.9%). The LASSO model identified 5 clinical features (old age, chronic renal disease, diabetes mellitus, current smoking, and left ventricular dysfunction) and 4 lesion features (left main disease, proximal main branch disease, side branch disease, and a small main branch diameter) as significant features that predict MACE. A combination of all 9 features improved the predictive value for MACE compared with clinical and lesion features (area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve: 0.657 vs 0.636 vs 0.581; P < 0.001). For secondary endpoints, the clinical features had a higher impact than lesion features on hard endpoints, whereas lesion features had a higher impact than clinical features on LOCO. In bifurcation PCI, 9 features were associated with MACE. Clinical features were predominant predictors for hard endpoints, and lesion features were predominant for predicting LOCO. Clinical and lesion features have distinct values, and both should be considered in bifurcation PCI.
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Kang et al. (2022) conducted an observational in Bifurcation lesions (n=5,537). High clinical and lesion risk features vs. Low clinical and lesion risk features was evaluated on Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 2-year follow-up (AUC 0.657, 95% CI 0.631-0.683, p=<0.001). A combination of 5 clinical and 4 lesion features significantly predicted major adverse cardiac events at 2 years after bifurcation percutaneous coronary intervention (AUC 0.657).
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