Computational study demonstrates reduced cost variability and upper-tail risk in operating room scheduling, highlighting improved reliability under uncertain surgery durations.
Allocating elective patients to operating rooms (ORs) under uncertain surgery durations and limited historical data requires balancing, opening costs against overtime risk. We develop a data-driven distributionally robust optimization model (DDRO) that jointly determines OR openings and patient assignments, with room-level risk measured by worst-case expected overtime over a Delage–Ye moment-based ambiguity set. We derive exact semidefinite reformulations under box and nonnegative ellipsoidal supports. OR homogeneity and separable risk yield an equivalent set-partitioning model, solved by a tailored column-generation algorithm (DDRO-CG) using exact full-enumeration pricing for small instances and heuristic candidate-pool pricing for larger ones. Experiments using the MSS-Adjusted Surgery Data validate DDRO-CG on small instances and show empirical tractability on the larger tested instances, although candidate-pool pricing provides no global optimality certificate. Out-of-sample evaluations and paired tests under controlled distributional shift show that DDRO reduces cost variability and upper-tail risk relative to deterministic and SAA benchmarks at a small average-cost premium over SAA.
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Ren et al. (2026) studied this question.
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