Concentration–response model of rilpivirine in a cohort of HIV-1-infected naive and pre-treated patients

BACKGROUND: Rilpivirine is widely prescribed in people living with HIV. Although trough plasma concentrations have been associated with virological response, the drug pharmacodynamics remain incompletely characterized. OBJECTIVES: To develop the first pharmacodynamic model of rilpivirine in order to establish the rilpivirine concentration-response relationship for future treatment optimization. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted in patients receiving the once-daily rilpivirine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine regimen. Individual rilpivirine trough plasma concentrations over time were predicted using a previous pharmacokinetic model. An established susceptible, infected, recovered model was used to describe HIV dynamics without assuming disease steady-state. Population analysis was performed with MONOLIX 2018 software. Simulations of the viral load evolution as a function of time and rilpivirine trough plasma concentration were performed. RESULTS: Overall, 60 naive and 39 pre-treated patients were included with a follow-up ranging from 2 to 37 months. The final model adequately described the data and the pharmacodynamic parameters were estimated with a good precision. The population typical value of rilpivirine EC50 was estimated at 65 ng/mL. A higher infection rate constant of CD4 cells for HIV-1 was obtained in pre-treated patients. Consequently, the time to obtain virological suppression was longer in pre-treated than in naive patients. CONCLUSIONS: The concentration-response relationship of rilpivirine was satisfactorily described for the first time using an original population pharmacodynamic model. Simulations performed using the final model showed that the currently used 50 ng/mL rilpivirine trough plasma concentration efficacy target might need revision upwards, particularly in pre-treated patients.