Assessing the factors influencing natural regeneration patterns in the diverse, multi‐cohort, and managed forests of Maine, USA

Questions What are the primary biotic and abiotic factors driving composition and abundance of naturally regenerated tree seedlings across forest landscapes of Maine? Do seedling species richness (SR) and density (SD) decrease with improved growing conditions (climate and soil), but increase with increased diversity of overstorey composition and structure? Does partial harvesting disproportionately favour relative dominance of shade‐intolerant hardwoods (PIHD) over shade‐tolerant softwoods (PTSD)? Location Forest landscapes across the diverse eco‐regions and forest types of Maine,USA. Methods This study usedUSDAForest Service Forest Inventory Analysis permanent plots (n = 10 842), measured every 5 yr since 1999. The best models for each response variable (SR,SD,PIHDandPTSD) were developed based onAICand biological interpretability, while considering 35 potential explanatory variables incorporating climate, soil, site productivity, overstorey structure and composition, and past harvesting. Results Mean annual temperature was the most important abiotic factor, whereas overstorey tree size diversity was the most important biotic factor forSRandSD. Both mean annual temperature and overstorey tree size diversity had a curvilinear relationship withSRandSD. Average overstorey shade tolerance and percentage tolerant softwood basal area in the overstorey were the top predictor variables ofPIHDandPTSD,respectively. Partial harvesting favouredPIHDbut notPTSD. Conclusions This is one of the first studies to comprehensively evaluate a number of factors influencing naturally established tree seedlings at a broad landscape scale in the Northern Forest region of the easternUSAand Canada. Despite limitations associated with relatively small plot size, large seedling size class and lack of direct measurements of light, water and nutrients, this study documents the influence of these factors amid high variability associated with patterns of natural regeneration. The curvilinear relationship between mean annual temperature withSRandSDsupports the argument that species richness and abundance usually have unimodal relationships with productivity indicators, whereas the curvilinear relationship between overstorey tree size diversity andSRandSDsuggest that moderate overstorey diversity incorporates multiple species as well as higher seedling individuals.