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September 5, 2026Management ScienceOpen Access

Learning in Lost-Sales Inventory Systems with Stochastic Lead Times and Random Supplies

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Authors

XCXin ChenJLJiameng LyuSYShilin Yuan

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Overview

Algorithmic analysis demonstrates sublinear regret in lost-sales inventory systems under unknown supply uncertainty, indicating robust optimization without prior distribution data.

Key Points

  • To develop an effective online learning algorithm for lost-sales inventory systems operating under stochastic lead times, random supplies, and unknown demand and supply distributions.
  • Formulated an inventory management model incorporating general supply uncertainty and censored feedback without relying on prior distribution knowledge.
  • Constructed an analytical framework based on transformed convexity combined with coupling and concentration inequalities to bound long-run costs.
  • Evaluated performance analytically via cumulative regret bounds against the best constant-order policy and verified performance using numerical simulations.
  • Derived the first provably effective learning algorithm for lost-sales inventory systems facing both stochastic lead times and random supply yields.
  • Proved a sublinear cumulative regret bound parameterized by the deterministic lead time component and the upper bound of the stochastic lead time variation.
  • Showed via numerical experiments that the learning algorithm consistently outperforms standard baselines under severe supply disruptions.

Cite This Study

Chen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd3726b95aff0620eaa3dhttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.04203
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