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September 5, 2026Conflict Security and Development

Psychological and human security in post-conflict Western Balkans: between formal stability and the risk of conflict recurrence

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Authors

ESElsida SINAJKXKristaq Xharo

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Overview

Qualitative comparative analysis reveals divergence between formal stability and psychological security across the Western Balkans, suggesting structural peace alone cannot prevent conflict...

Key Points

  • Investigate the relationship between psychological security and socio-economic human security to evaluate how structural and perceptual vulnerabilities influence the risk of conflict recurrence.
  • Employed a qualitative comparative design analyzing post-conflict conditions across Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, and North Macedonia.
  • Synthesized data from secondary literature, institutional policy documents, and published reports.
  • Distinguished psychological security (perceptions of threat, trust, predictability, belonging) from structural human security (socio-economic and material dimensions).
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina displayed strong alignment between acute structural insecurity and persistent psychological vulnerability.
  • Kosovo demonstrated a mixed pattern characterized by divergence between structural conditions and subjective perceptions, whereas North Macedonia showed partial convergence toward greater security.
  • Formal institutional stability did not consistently match lived psychological experiences, showing limited evidence for mutual reinforcement between structural and perceptual safety.

Cite This Study

SINAJ et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd4436b95aff0620ebc02https://doi.org/10.1080/14678802.2026.2727518
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