This study examines the surface latent heat flux (SLHF) and rainfall associated with rapidly intensifying western North Pacific tropical cyclones (TCs). The mean initial (t = 0 h) SLHF conditions of samples that undergo rapid intensification (RI) are compared with those of the non-RI samples for four categories classified by moving direction over a 24-h period. The results show that RI samples are usually associated with an area of relatively high SLHF on the right-hand side of TC track and with relatively high rainfall within inner-core regions. Student t-tests show statistically significant differences between SLHF of RI and non-RI samples ahead of the TC track, suggesting that SLHF plays an important role in TC rapid intensification. SLHF and inner-core rainfall have the potential to be new predictors for TC intensity forecasting.
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Gao et al. (2010) studied this question.
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