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CONTEXT: Intentional overdose is a leading method of self-harm and suicide, and repeat attempts strongly predict eventual death by suicide. OBJECTIVES: To determine the risk of recurrence after a first intentional overdose. Secondary objectives included characterization of the temporal course and potential predictors of repeat overdose, a strong risk factor for death from suicide. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Ontario, Canada, from 1 April 2002 to 31 March 2013. PARTICIPANTS: All Ontario residents presenting to an emergency department after a first intentional overdose. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence and timing of recurrent overdose. RESULTS: We followed 81,675 patients discharged from hospital after a first intentional overdose. Overall, 13,903 (17.0%) returned with a repeat overdose after a median interval of 288 (inter-quartile range: 62 to 834) days. Of these, 4493 (5.5%) had multiple repeat episodes. Factors associated with repeat self-poisoning included psychiatric care in the preceding year (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50 to 1.61), alcohol dependence (aHR 1.41; 95% CI 1.35 to 1.46) and documented depression (aHR 1.39; 95% CI 1.34 to 1.44). Female sex, rural residence, lower socioeconomic status, ingestion of psychoactive drugs and younger age were also weakly associated with repeat overdose. DISCUSSION: Hospital presentation for repetition of intentional overdose is common, with recurrent episodes often far removed from the first. While several factors predict overdose repetition, none is particularly strong. CONCLUSION: Secondary prevention initiatives should be implemented for all individuals who present to the emergency department and survive intentional overdose.
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Finkelstein et al. (2016) studied this question.
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