Polymorphism of melanic ladybirds maintained by frequency-dependent sexual selection

Sexual selection, whether by female preference or male competition, is almost inevitably frequency-dependent. Female preference gives rise to a ‘rare male effect’, by which the rarer male phenotypes gain a relatively greater selective advantage. In addition to this effect, the proportion of females expressing a preference may also be frequency-dependent. Frequency-dependent expression of mating preference can arise in at least two ways: (1) when females encounter a succession of courting males while searching for a male they prefer; (2) when females chose a male from within a lek. Models of mating behaviour reveal a clear distinction between the frequency dependence in the expression of female preference and the frequency dependence in the consequent selection of the males. When expression of preference is highly dependent on frequency, the selection of males is constant or only slightly frequency-dependent: constant expression of preference produces high frequency dependence of selection. Analysis of general models shows that genetic polymorphisms can be maintained under a wide range of conditions. The ladybird, Adalia bipunctata, is polymorphic for several melanic and non-melanic phenotypes. Females have a genetically determined preference for melanic males. Non-melanic phenotypes mate assortatively. By estimating the parameters of a detailed model of natural selection, sexual selection and assortative mating, it has been shown that the Adalia bipunctata polymorphism will be maintained at frequencies observed in the wild.