Economic and spatial modeling reveals up to $3.8 billion in savings from slowing gypsy moth expansion, indicating that delaying residential impacts drives the vast majority of program benefits.
The potential benefits of a proposed program to slow the spread of the gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar (L.), are assessed. A GIS model, which may have application to other epidemiological analyses, was developed to assess the physical spread over a 25 year period. Economic models were developed to estimate potential benefits from reduced management activities, timber production, residential impacts, and recreation participation. Potential benefits for the greatest, medium, and least benefit scenarios were about $3,800, $2,300, and $800 million, present value, respectively. About 83% of these benefits were obtained from delaying residential impacts. South. J. Appl. For. 20(2):65-73.
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Leuschner et al. (1996) studied this question.
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