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September 8, 2026Respirology

Contemporary Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease Outcomes: A Multicentre National Cohort Study

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Authors

TPTyler PitreCRChristopher J. RyersonSOShaun Ong

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Overview

Multicenter cohort study reveals varied transplant-free survival across fibrotic interstitial lung disease subtypes, indicating moderate ILD-GAP prognostic accuracy.

Key Points

  • To determine contemporary transplant-free survival across fibrotic interstitial lung disease subtypes, identify baseline predictors of mortality or lung transplantation, and evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the ILD-GAP index.
  • Prospective multicenter cohort study analyzing 4,236 patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (IPF, fHP, CTD-ILD, or uILD) enrolled in the Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis (CARE-PF).
  • Transplant-free survival was calculated at 1, 3, and 5 years using registry enrollment as baseline.
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models identified predictors of death or transplantation, and Harrell's C statistic assessed the discriminative performance of the ILD-GAP index at 1, 2, and 3 years.
  • Among 4,236 patients (31% IPF, 40% CTD-ILD, 9% fHP, 20% uILD), overall transplant-free survival was 91% at 1 year, 72% at 3 years, and 57% at 5 years.
  • Five-year transplant-free survival was lowest for IPF (39%; 87% at 1 year, 61% at 3 years) and highest for CTD-ILD (70%; 95% at 1 year, 81% at 3 years), with CTD-ILD showing significantly lower risk versus IPF (adjusted HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.55–0.76).
  • The ILD-GAP index demonstrated moderate discrimination for mortality or transplantation at 1 year (C = 0.75), 2 years (C = 0.74), and 3 years (C = 0.73).

Cite This Study

Pitre et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9fd79b58e84d0ff5b465bchttps://doi.org/10.1002/resp.70305
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