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September 8, 2026Moscow Economic Journal

Institutional “Space Compression” and Spatial Selectivity of Gas-Based Industrial Location in the Republic of Buryatia

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Authors

BGBain Gurobazarov

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Overview

Financial-spatial simulation study demonstrates tax incentives expand feasible pipeline distances for gas manufacturing, highlighting the value of spatially selective regional policies.

Key Points

  • Quantify institutional 'space compression' by evaluating how public policy support regimes alter the maximum economically feasible gas pipeline connection length for industrial projects.
  • Integrated scenario-based GIS mapping with a financial-spatial model evaluating a reference 500,000-tonne-per-year methanol plant.
  • Held technological and market variables constant while altering individual pipeline connection lengths and regional institutional support mechanisms.
  • Evaluated project feasibility using net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and the threshold distance (L*) where NPV equals zero across sites including Ulan-Ude, Gusinoozersk, and Kyakhta/Naushki.
  • The baseline economically feasible pipeline connection threshold (L*) was approximately 31.0 km.
  • A zero regional profit-tax rate under a special investment contract increased the connection threshold to 111.1 km, and adding property-tax concessions raised it to 131.6 km.
  • An investment-protection agreement reimbursing 30% of eligible infrastructure costs increased the feasible connection threshold to 37.6 km.

Cite This Study

Bain Gurobazarov (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9fd7b758e84d0ff5b46a5ahttps://doi.org/10.55186/2413046x_2026_11_8_116
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