Model evaluation rejects a proposed session-open gap-fill strategy in an ultra-short scalp architecture, indicating structural holding-time incompatibility and increased drawdown risk.
DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No element survives — the gap-fill target (prior day's close) is incompatible with E8's 15s–7m scalp geometry; converting to a partial TP would corrupt the sacred geometry timing that gates every entry. The 3-bar fade window also conflicts with E8's rhythm logic, which does not wait for session-open patterns. EXPECTED IMPACT: 0.0% win-rate change, 0.0% profit change — orthogonal to current signals, as Merlin projected. Adopting it would add a second, conflicting timing engine, increasing model entropy without measurable edge in our holding period. RISK: Gap continuation (news gaps) would stop out at fade extreme, adding drawdown without any offsetting wins in our window. Also, ATR(14) on 1m is noise; even on 15m, the edge's mean-reversion assumption fails in trending sessions, which dominate our active hours. TEST: Not applicable — no test can pass because the strategy's target and holding period are structurally incompatible with E8's 7m max. If force Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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Andrew Stewart Caldin (2026) studied this question.
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