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September 8, 2026Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling

DIME: Dynamics Inferred from Monte Carlo Ensembles via Continuous-Time Markov Chains

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Authors

KMKrishna Praneet MulukutlaMKMarimuthu Krishnan

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Overview

Computational study demonstrates kinetic trajectory inference from static Monte Carlo ensembles across six biomolecular systems, indicating accurate rate estimation without long simulations.

Key Points

  • To construct a framework that infers physically realistic kinetic trajectories and rate matrices directly from static, Boltzmann-weighted molecular ensembles without extensive molecular dynamics simulations.
  • Clustered static Monte Carlo ensembles into metastable states to define stationary distributions and built a rate matrix enforcing detailed balance with barrier heights extracted from the free energy surface.
  • Calibrated the absolute physical timescale by matching the slowest relaxation mode against a short molecular dynamics reference trajectory.
  • Validated the framework across six systems ranging from simple peptides (n-pentane, alanine dipeptide, WLALL, AIB9) to wild-type chignolin and bovine pancreatic trypsin inhibitor, including metadynamics simulations.
  • Inferred continuous-time Markov models reproduced molecular dynamics rate matrices, mean first-passage times, and implied timescales across all benchmark systems after short timescale calibration.
  • Verified kinetic symmetry in the achiral peptide AIB9 without reference data and captured millisecond native-state dynamics in bovine pancreatic trypsin inhibitor.
  • Demonstrated that the approach works effectively with free energy surfaces derived from enhanced sampling techniques such as well-tempered metadynamics.

Cite This Study

Mulukutla et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa0091858e84d0ff5b47b25https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jcim.6c01396
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