Key result
Colder marathon start temperatures linked to ~6% higher sudden cardiac arrest risk per 1°C drop.
Why the study?
The contribution of environmental factors, including meteorological conditions and ambient air pollution, to sudden cardiac arrest during marathons remains incompletely understood.
Do meteorological conditions and ambient air pollutants affect the risk of sudden cardiac arrest in marathon runners?
Observational (n=4,528,134)
Yes
Do meteorological conditions and ambient air pollutants affect the risk of sudden cardiac arrest in marathon runners?
Lower ambient temperatures at the start of marathons are associated with a higher risk of sudden cardiac arrest, suggesting temperature is an important environmental trigger.
May inform marathon safety planning; hypothesis-generating and should not yet change practice.
BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) during marathons is a rare but life-threatening event. Although underlying cardiovascular conditions have been implicated in race-related SCA, the contribution of environmental factors, including meteorological conditions and ambient air pollution, remains incompletely understood. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study was to examine the associations of meteorological conditions and ambient air pollutants with SCA during marathon races. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide race-level study in Japan using data from 4.53 million runners participating in Japan Association of Athletics Federations-certified full marathons between April 2011 and March 2020. Race-level SCA counts were linked to meteorological variables at race start, including ambient temperature, humidity, solar radiation, wind speed, precipitation, and air pressure, and to ambient air pollutants including fine particulate matter, suspended particulate matter, photochemical oxidants, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and carbon monoxide. Associations were examined using Poisson regression models with adjustment for race characteristics and participant composition. RESULTS: Among 4.53 million runners, 75 cases of SCA were identified. Ambient temperature at race start was inversely associated with SCA risk (adjusted incidence rate ratio per 1 °C increase: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.99), corresponding to a higher risk at lower temperatures. No statistically significant associations were observed between ambient air pollutants and SCA risk. CONCLUSIONS: In Japanese marathon races held predominantly in autumn and winter, lower ambient temperature at race start was associated with a higher risk of SCA, whereas no significant association was observed for ambient air pollutants.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Kato et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Sudden cardiac arrest during marathons (n=4,528,134). Ambient temperature vs. Per 1°C decrease was evaluated on Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) (IRR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.12). Lower ambient temperatures at the start of marathons were significantly associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac arrest, with an adjusted incidence risk ratio of 1.06 per 1°C decrease.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: