Predicting DUI Recidivism Following an Alcohol Safety Action Program

Driving under the influence of alcohol (DUI) is a pervasive behavioral problem that causes substantial financial and emotional grief. In light of the costs attributable to DUI, the need for the effective intervention into the problem of drunk driving remains. Past research indicates that a substantial proportion of these offenses are committed by recidivists. Therefore, targeting predictors of recidivism may be beneficial for DUI interventions. This study: (a) identifies the relevant factors in probationer recidivism in a rural area of Virginia; (b) applies these factors to predict probationer recidivism; and (c) evaluates the impact of the local Virginia Alcohol Safety Action Program (VASAP) on recidivism rates of convicted DUI offenders. Results indicate that the severity of probationer alcoholism and failure to complete VASAP were effective predictors of recidivism. The utility of performing program evaluations to identify and effectively address local needs is discussed.